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Methodology

How the predictions are made — live, not marketing.

Pipeline

live · rolling 30 days

Every symbol is scored every cycle. Most attempts never become a published prediction — the gate abstains when conviction is thin, and that attrition is the point, not a shortfall. Validated counts what has since settled; the narrower cohort the published accuracy is computed on, and the exclusions that define it, are stated on the track record.

  1. Universe84ksymbols5 markets
  2. Features392per symbol14 signal groups
  3. Models2champion + challenger7 horizons
  4. Signal gate60%abstainedof 814k attempts
  5. Published328kpredictions40% of attempts
  6. Validated58kscored vs outcome18% matured
Abstained 486,421Published 327,852from 814,273 attempts

Model pipeline

Primary model
DAILY_LIGHT LIGHT_v20260622_1414
Version
LIGHT_v20260622_1414
Source
champion_registry
Challenger
DAILY_COMPLETE v20260917_1749
Last training
Sep 17, 2026
Cadence
weekly on GCP Saturday
Last calibration
Calibration error
Not carried by the pipeline-state payload. Expected calibration error is published, with its bins, on the Track record page.

Universe

Total symbols
84250
Markets
US, IN, EU, APAC, LATAM
APAC 19542IN 7347EU 12133US 44458LATAM 770

Features

Total features
392
Signal groups
14
Horizons
1d, 5d, 7d, 10d, 15d, 30d, 90d
trendmomentumvolumevolatilitysectormacrosentimentpatternfundamentalsnews_eventsfibonaccichart_patternsindia_signalsxbrl_fundamentals

Track record · 30d

-10.99%
Net edge
17.8%
Validation rate
58,291
Scored

Net edge is directional accuracy measured against coin_flip_50pct (directional_accuracy_vs_50pct_random), gross_of_costs. A negative figure means the published calls have been landing below a coin flip over this window — shown as measured, not smoothed. This payload does not disclose the confidence floor its cohort was cut at; the floor in force is published on the track record.

Snapshot generated Sep 17, 7:21 PM · data as of Sep 17, 7:07 PM.